Just about no part of the 2022 midterms is more uncertain than the race for control of the U.S. Senate. The chamber is split 50-50 between Democrats and Republi… ...

October 31st 2022: We have updated the methodology behind our congressional forecast. Read about the changes to our model here.

Figure 1 displays a scatterplot of the relationship between the forecasts generated by the generic ballot model and the actual seat swing in House and Senate elections between 1946 and 2018.

The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterm forecast is live! Republicans are strong favorites to win back the House, while control of the Senate is a toss-up.

FINAL FORECASTS — Steve Shepard’s final predictions were posted overnight. The big takeaway: “Republicans have a grip on the House majority. But the Senate is firmly up for grabs.” ...

Decide who wins the 2022 Senate by assigning states to Republicans or Democrats and see how the balance of power changes. Also see scenarios from NBC News’ Steve Kornacki and Chuck Todd.

Who will control the Senate after 2022 Midterms? Here are 3 plausible outcomes based on feedback from political strategists, independent analysts, and polling data.

With the midterm homestretch underway, Republicans appear to have momentum on their side in their quest to flip the Senate as three states move in their direction in a key forecast.

Wisconsin’s Senate race moved from a “toss-up” to “lean Republican” on Friday, according to The Cook Political Report, which also shifted its Senate forecast in favor of Republicans.

Good morning, it s Friday, June 10, 2022, the day of the week when I pass along a quotation intended to be uplifting or enlightening. Today s words of ...

Conventional wisdom – and history – points to a disappointing 2022 at the ballot box for Democrats.