IRGC's power consolidation suggests stability in Iran, with the regime's fall by June at 8.5% YES and Reza Pahlavi's entry by ...

A Lebanese journalist was killed in an Israeli strike amid a fragile ceasefire. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Justin Sun’s lawsuit against World Liberty Financial (WLFI), alleging fraud and financial manipulation, has unsettled the ...

The Strait’s closure is a direct supply disruption to one of the world’s most concentrated oil transit routes. The low 3.5% ...

The EU has approved a 90 billion euro loan for Ukraine and new sanctions against Russia. The Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by ...

Iran seized two ships near the Strait of Hormuz, raising oil supply concerns. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.5% YES ...

US considers targeting Iran's Hormuz defenses if ceasefire collapses. Ceasefire ending by April 30 at 25% YES.

Bitcoin price dropped 22% in Q1 2026, breaking support levels. Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by December 31, 2026 at 5% YES.

FBI Director Kash Patel's clash with the New York Times raises concerns about his position, with market odds for his ...

BlackRock’s $900 million Bitcoin acquisition has moved prediction markets sharply. The odds of Bitcoin hitting $80,000 in ...

Reports confirm Israel-Lebanon talks have started at the White House. The market on whether an Israel x Lebanon diplomatic ...

US and Israeli airstrikes hit Tehran's airport amid the 2026 Iran conflict, pushing the Iranian regime fall market to 8.5% ...