Iran used fast boats to seize container ships in the Strait of Hormuz, challenging the US blockade. The market on whether the ...

Israeli strikes on Gaza kill four Palestinians amid a ceasefire. Netanyahu's departure by June 30 is at 6% YES.

A Lebanese couple found their home destroyed amid ongoing conflict. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% ...

A report by The New Yorker says Trump’s objectives in Iran are faltering. The odds of a US-Iran permanent peace deal by April ...

OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 is officially out. The market for GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026, sits at 100% YES. Combined USDC volume ...

Iran's air defenses engaged hostile targets in Tehran. Military action against Israel by April 30 at 100% YES, while regime ...

Hezbollah launched rockets at Israel during Trump-hosted talks. Trump endorsing an Israeli ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

The Pound Sterling has held above its two-week low against the USD as US-Iran tensions escalate, while the Polymarket ...

EU leaders are considering a mutual defense clause amid NATO uncertainty. US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 at 0.5% YES.

Israel and Lebanon confirmed a second round of talks in Washington. Diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 100% YES.

Trump pledged support for Lebanon and urged Israel to stop demolitions. Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30 at ...

US military plans strikes on Iran's Hormuz defenses amid ceasefire concerns. Blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 59.5% YES.