US offers a $10M bounty for an Iran-linked militia leader. Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium by April 30, 2026 at 5% ...

Ethereum could rally to $6,000 due to supply cuts and institutional demand. Ethereum at $10,000 by December 2026 priced at 4.2% YES.

Morgan Stanley launches a fund for stablecoin issuers under GENIUS Act compliance. USDC depegging by December 31 at 3% YES.

Bitcoin ETFs attracted $223M for the eighth consecutive day, while Ethereum ETFs recorded a $75.9M outflow that broke a ...

The US Navy seized an Iranian-flagged ship in the Gulf of Oman, per the Wall Street Journal. The Polymarket contract for ...

AI stocks now make up 45% of the S&P 500, a 20-point increase since ChatGPT's launch. NVIDIA largest company by market cap on ...

A US-sanctioned Iranian oil tanker attempts to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil all-time high by April 30 at 3.1% YES.

Trump confirmed a three-week extension of the Israel-Lebanon ceasefire. Endorsement of the ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

The US president announced plans to host Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun soon, ...

Kelp DAO exploit drains 116,500 rsETH, impacting DeFi protocols. Ethereum at $4,000 in April priced at 2.9% YES.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana remain unfrozen amid stablecoin depeg concerns. USDC depeg by December 31 at 3% YES.

US Secretary of War fires Navy Secretary amid Iran standoff. Market for military action ending by May 31 at 3.4% YES.