Nvidia's investment in Intel boosts market cap odds. Nvidia largest company by market cap on April 30 at 99.6% YES.

Israel is ready to resume airstrikes on Iran pending US approval. Iran's surrender of enriched uranium by April 30 at 6.7% ...

Pakistani officials are meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi in Islamabad to revive negotiations with the ...

The US-Iran peace deal market has turned sharply bearish. The likelihood of a peace deal by April 30 sits at 11% YES, down ...

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama confirmed ongoing close coordination on forex with US deputies. The market for the ...

Nakamoto launches a Bitcoin derivatives program with Kraken and Bitwise. Bitcoin above $68K on April 26 at 99.6% YES.

Hezbollah called the ceasefire “meaningless” as fighting continues in southern Lebanon. The Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by ...

Trump claims Iran is ready to negotiate, causing the market on his agreement to oil sanction relief by April to rise to 15% ...

Iran denies requesting a US meeting, keeping April 24 talks odds at 0.7% YES; April 25 at 6.1% YES, and April 26 at 29.6% YES ...

The New York Times reports a dual blockade in the Strait of Hormuz involving the US and Iran. The odds of the UK sending ...

Baker Hughes predicts the Strait of Hormuz will remain partially closed until late 2026. Traffic returning to normal by May ...

US and Iranian delegations are set to meet separately with Pakistani mediators in Islamabad this weekend, according to a ...