EU leaders are considering a mutual defense clause amid NATO uncertainty. US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 at 0.5% YES.

OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 is officially out. The market for GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026, sits at 100% YES. Combined USDC volume ...

Israel and Lebanon confirmed a second round of talks in Washington. Diplomatic meeting by April 30 at 100% YES.

Mantle introduced a draft proposal to lend up to 30,000 ETH from its treasury to Aave DAO to help cover bad debt tied to the ...

Oil markets are on edge as the Strait of Hormuz stays shut due to Iran war tensions. The market for WTI Crude Oil hitting ...

Iran's airstrikes on UAE targets escalate tensions and threaten assets. Odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 rise to 8.5 ...

UK is in talks with Anthropic to use its AI model for bank cybersecurity. Anthropic as third-best AI model by April 2026 at ...

The Pound Sterling has held above its two-week low against the USD as US-Iran tensions escalate, while the Polymarket ...

US military plans strikes on Iran's Hormuz defenses amid ceasefire concerns. Blockade lift by May 31, 2026 at 59.5% YES.

Naval tensions in the Red Sea are rising, impacting Bitcoin sentiment negatively. Bitcoin at $60,000 by April 30 sits at 0% ...

Bitcoin sentiment has shifted from extreme fear to FOMO as the price rebounded above $78,000, with traders watching the $80K ...

Graham supports Iran blockade strategy with Trump, signaling ongoing conflict. Nuclear deal by April 30 at 6.3% YES.