While Trump is arguably one of the most unpredictable presidents of all time, investors, analysts, and market strategists often try to use the past to look for clues regarding what could happen in the future. Will the stock market soar or crash under President Trump in 2026? History won't tell us for sure, but here's what it shows might happen.

Living off of dividends is a common strategy for retirees. Of course, for it to work, you need to amass a pretty sizable portfolio. Let’s say your portfolio gives you a dividend yield of 4%. If you have $500,

Economists usually expect falls in the stockmarket to lead to reduced spending elsewhere. A rule of thumb suggested by one study is that every $100 drop in stockmarket wealth leads, on average, to a $3.20 drop in consumer spending. Under such an assumption, a dotcom-style crash would cut American consumption by about $890bn, or 2.9% of GDP.

Dow, S&P, Nasdaq all in red. Stocks fell Wednesday as weak earnings from Texas Instruments (-4%) and Netflix (-9%) weighed on the major averages. Dow dropped 147 points (0.3%), S&P 500 fell 0.4%, Nasdaq slid 0.

Talk of a 2025 recession abated this summer, but economists noted a sense of instability among consumers, who were spending less, and among businesses, which were hiring less.

Expert investors like Warren Buffett are having trouble finding stock market bargains. Just take a look at Buffett's growing cash hoard. His holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, recently reported a $381 billion cash pile -- the most in its history.

Now a growing number of experts warn that these new highs could be followed by new lows — a dire risk to the 62% of Americans who collectively own stocks worth $51 trillion. (1)

Semiconductor testing equipment manufacturer Advantest declined over 8%, while chipmaker Renesas Electronics is down 6% in Asian trading on Wednesday. losses are also led by South Korean giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are also down 6% each.

AMD stock crashed 3.7% to $250.05 despite posting record Q3 2025 earnings. The chipmaker reported $9.25 billion in revenue, up 36% year-over-year, and $1.20 EPS, beating forecasts. Strong AI chip demand and new deals with OpenAI and Oracle pushed data center revenue to $4.

Gary Marcus, the former head of Uber AI Labs and longtime AI researcher, said a worst-case scenario could involve government bailouts of AI firms.